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Donald Trump’s immigration plan would wreak havoc on U.S. society -- Washington Post

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  • Donald Trump’s immigration plan would wreak havoc on U.S. society -- Washington Post

    Donald Trump’s immigration plan would wreak havoc on U.S. society

    The Washington Post

    Editorial Board
    8/17/2015

    Excerpt:

    REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL hopeful Donald Trump, who unveiled his immigration platform over the weekend, says America’s illegal immigrants “have to go.” Although the large majority of Americans don’t agree, Mr. Trump is appealing to a more sympathetic audience: the most conservative slice of the Republican primary electorate.

    So let’s take Mr. Trump’s plan at face value and examine the impact of deporting millions of undocumented immigrants.

    A useful case study is California, whose economy accounts for about 13 percent of U.S. gross domestic product and whose 2.6 million undocumented workers include almost a tenth of the state’s workforce.

    For starters, the state’s farms and orchards, where a third to a half of agricultural workers are undocumented, would be crippled. So would their output, comprising more than half the fruits and vegetables consumed in this country. The labor market in construction, where about 14 percent of workers are undocumented, would be severely disrupted. Ditto for hospitality, child care and landscaping.

    Mr. Trump says he would keep families together if they include legal and illegal immigrants, but they’d all “have to go.” Does that include the 13 percent of California’s K-12 students who have at least one undocumented parent? How about the U.S.-born children of nearly 4 million unauthorized immigrants nationwide, most of whom have been in the United States for well over a decade?

    As a quick fix for unemployment, Mr. Trump’s plan is also a non-starter. The share of the labor force occupied by illegal immigrants in California, Nevada, Texas and New Jersey is much greater than the jobless rate in each of those states. Even if every unemployed American in those states took an undocumented worker’s job — wildly unlikely, given that most Americans are unwilling to do the dirty jobs filled by many immigrants — it would still leave hundreds of thousands jobs unfilled.

    Despite his nativist rhetoric, Mr. Trump may grasp the staggering economic and social havoc that mass deportation would wreak. Hence his offhand comment, on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” that he’d “bring them back rapidly, the good ones.”

    According to the Migration Policy Institute, about 87 percent of the United States’ undocumented immigrants — some 10 million people — have no serious criminal record. If those turn out to qualify as Mr. Trump’s “good ones,” what purpose would be served by deporting them only to “bring them back rapidly”?

    What Mr. Trump proposes is nothing less than manufacturing a humanitarian upheaval on a scale rivaling the refugee crisis in Syria. Notwithstanding his cavalier rhetoric, there’s no evidence Americans would tolerate such a mass uprooting of people who have planted deep roots in this nation.

    ...........................................


    View the complete article, including image, at:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...3d3_story.html
    Last edited by bsteadman; 08-18-2015, 01:19 AM.
    B. Steadman

  • #2
    Trump's Illegal Alien Deportation Plan is a Hell of a Bargain

    We're already paying more than $12,500 a year for every illegal alien household

    FrontPage Mag

    Daniel Greenfield
    8/17/2015

    Excerpt:

    Let's start out with the media scare tactics.

    Now that Donald Trump has called to deport all of the illegal aliens living in the United States, here's the natural follow-up question: How much would that cost?

    The answer: More than $100 billion -- if not $200 billion.

    The $200 billion number comes from Obama's Center for American Progress, so let's just ignore it and focus on the first number.

    Back in 2011, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) deputy director Kumar Kibble said it costs $12,500 to deport an individual illegal alien.

    So when you multiply that cost for the estimated 11 million illegal aliens living in the U.S., that comes to $137.5 billion.

    It doesn't have to be $12,500. Eisenhower's Operation Wetback didn't cost that much per illegal. But let's go with that number.

    What does that $12,500 really mean? Let's compare it to the gruesome cost of illegal aliens.

    Illegal immigration costs U.S. taxpayers about $113 billion a year at the federal, state and local level. The bulk of the costs — some $84 billion — are absorbed by state and local governments.

    In short, we could spend $137 billion once and get rid of the problem. Or we can keep spending more than that every 2 years.

    $12,500 is a bargain when you consider that one illegal alien child is going to cost several times more than a year in education and social welfare costs alone. New York's per child education spending is around $19K per child.

    An illegal alien's single ER visit can eat up that much. Never mind the cost of a pregnancy or a single arrest.

    Here's the Heritage estimate.

    In 2010, the average unlawful immigrant household received around $24,721 in government benefits and services while paying some $10,334 in taxes. This generated an average annual fiscal deficit (benefits received minus taxes paid) of around $14,387 per household. This cost had to be borne by U.S. taxpayers. Amnesty would provide unlawful households with access to over 80 means-tested welfare programs, Obamacare, Social Security, and Medicare. The fiscal deficit for each household would soar.

    We're already paying more than $12,500 a year for every illegal alien household. Deporting them would be a hell of a bargain.

    In 2009 (based on data collected in 2010), 57 percent of households headed by an immigrant (legal and illegal) with children (under 18) used at least one welfare program, compared to 39 percent for native households with children.

    Immigrant households’ use of welfare tends to be much higher than natives for food assistance programs and Medicaid. Their use of cash and housing programs tends to be similar to native households.

    But if the pro-illegal alien lobby is suddenly worried about spending, here's a great fiscally conservative immigration solution.

    Households with children with the highest welfare use rates are those headed by immigrants from the Dominican Republic (82 percent), Mexico and Guatemala (75 percent), and Ecuador (70 percent). Those with the lowest use rates are from the United Kingdom (7 percent), India (19 percent), Canada (23 percent), and Korea (25 percent).


    .........................................

    View the complete article at:

    http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/25...iel-greenfield
    B. Steadman

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